NAM Model Suggests Major Ice Storm Possibility
We posted earlier today regarding the next weather event and all the models were warmer and left. This was because the primary low is much deeper and much further left than what models were indicating yesterday and last night. Faced with this the obvious reaction from a forecast standpoint that the warmer look means less snow and ice and more rain especially in southern areas. Well there is one other possibility which the NAM strongly points tonight.
Tonight’s model run takes the primary low even further left. In fact it is far enough left that such a track would allow cold air to wedge down southward from New England. This is why the nam is showing a large area of sleet and/or freezing rain extending all the way down to Pennsylvania.
The NAM implication of a primary so far left is for the possibility of a major icing event for the northeast including a period of icing for the coast. Now we are not ready to buy this completely but we will watch the other models as they begin to come out shortly. If the left trend continues on those models it could make for an interesting Monday night and Tuesday for the northeast. I will be posting an update on this after midnight tonight including a new video on this as we focus on the short range developments.
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