hurricane watch

Hurricane Watch Florida Coastal Bend


Hurricane Watch Florida Coastal Bend

Tropical Depression 9 Just Below Tropical Storm Strength

storm free

The development of Tropical Depression 9 has been very slow and the system continues to sit on the verge of tropical storm strength. However given the upper dynamics of low shear developing and increasingly good inflow, the National Hurricane Center has placed the coastal bend of Western Florida under a Hurricane Watch.

hurricane watch

The official hurricane forecast for now does not bring this to hurricane strength though some hurricane models do strengthen this to a minimal hurricane before landfall. Given the history of this depression and the slowness of development, caution is advised in both directions regarding how strong this system becomes.

storm free

storm free

Judgiing from the satellite loops it appears that there could be multiple centers as there is twisting evident a full degree south of the actual advisory location. You can also see a twist in the clouds on the east side of a burst of convection that is occuring right now.


This is the latest GFS model for Sunday evening which has a tropical storm or minimal hurricane just southeast of Cape Cod. This model does not do the left hook turn as the earlier run did as it is less deep with the fractured cutoff to the southwest. Latest 18z hurricane model plots seem to be clustered around the same spot.

hurricane watch

Regardless of how this turns out, we can say that surf conditions at the beaches will be rough right into Labor Day. For the latest on the earlier model runs read my JOESTRADAMUS post.

Here is my Tropical Weather Video from this morning with more


FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley







Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!




storm free




Liked it? Take a second to support joestradamus on Patreon!