hurricane jose

Hurricane Jose Moving Southeastward No Change In Strength

Hurricane Jose Moving Southeastward No Change In Strength

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Hurricane Jose Moving Southeastward No Change In Strength

Hurricane Jose is maintaining its hurricane status tonight with top winds of 75 mph. It has begun its clockwise loop as it moves steadily southeastward as the satellite loop indicates. Northerly shear is effecting the structure somewhat but it appears to be holding together. The center appears to be under all the deep convection but at some point the shear could take its toll and Jose could weaken to a tropical storm on Friday.

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The water vapor loop below shows the clouds moving southward from just north of Jose. An upper ridge will be building on Friday and over the weekend which eventually should turn Jose to the west. What will be left of Jose remains to be seen depending on the extent of the strong wind shear conditions.

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There is no real change in the outlook tonight for the next few days. A west or west northwest motion should then become more of a northward motion over time. While the UKMET model disagrees with the other global models with its more westerly track, we lean toward an out to sea solution here. The strength of the ridge is a question mark here as a stronger ridge could mean more of westward track in the longer term.  For it is prove it to me.

…JOSE LOOPING OVER THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC BETWEEN THE BAHAMAS AND
BERMUDA…

 

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…26.5N 66.4W
ABOUT 495 MI…800 KM NE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 410 MI…665 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…SE OR 125 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…985 MB…29.09 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 26.5 North, longitude 66.4 West. Jose is moving
toward the southeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), but it is expected to
make a slow clockwise loop during the next 48 hours, moving
west-northwestward by late Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

 

 

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