Hurricane Gert Category 2 Hurricane 2 Tropical Waves Organizing
Hurricane Gert Category 2 Hurricane 2 Tropical Waves Organizing
Hurricane Gert now has maximum winds of 100 mph making it a category 2 hurricane. The only impact on our area remains the at the beaches with rough surf and rip current conditions that will continue through Thursday before relaxing some later Friday and for the weekend. The satellite loop shows the well developed eye of Hurricane Gert as it accelerates away to the northeast at 30 mph.
…GERT BECOMES A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC…
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
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LOCATION…38.7N 62.4W
ABOUT 410 MI…665 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 725 MI…1170 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…100 MPH…155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 31 MPH…50 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…970 MB…28.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 38.7 North, longitude 62.4 West. Gert is moving
quickly toward the northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h). An even faster
motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Thursday,
followed by some deceleration and a turn toward the northeast
Thursday night and Friday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through
tonight, but weakening is forecast to begin on Thursday. Gert
should become an extratropical low by early Friday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).
Next we focus attention on 2 tropical waves in the Tropical Atlantic which show some signs of organization let this afternoon and we ca see some turning in the cloud structures of both waves as they head westward. The National Hurricane Center rates both these systems at a 50 percent chance of developing in the next 5 days. Conditions appear favorable for development. There is a third wave off the African coast that has a 40% shot for developing in the next 5 days.
Dry air continues to be an issue across the Atlantic just north of where the waves are. This can inhibit development or at least slow it down. Weather models remain all over the place regading which if any of these systems develop.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
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