HRRR Model Cutting Snow Amounts

HRRR Model Cutting Snow Amounts

HRRR Model Cutting Snow Amounts

http://www.fragalalandscape.com/

MENTION JOE CIOFFI AND GET A 5% DISCOUNT

Based on the latest satellite, radar and surface observations I’m scaling snow amounts back. While there is still moisture to the south and west it remains unimpressive to me as it lifts northward. So far very little snow has fallen to the south. Some places have had the ground whitened but surface observations have been few and far between. No one is snowing even a solid light intensity let alone trying to find anyone reporting a moderate snow as of  8pm this evening. I think it is going to be hard pressed for the area to produce the kind of liquid amounts models were forecasting. Some were forecasting upwards to a half to three quarters of an inch. Where is it going to come from?

HRRR Model Cutting Snow Amounts Satellie Loop

storm free

The regional radar shows precipiation building but something is going on aloft that is keeping that snow from reaching the ground. The fact that temperatures are borderline requires the snow to come down hard to cool down the bottom of the atmosphere. Otherwise how are temperatures going to get down to the freezing mark let alone under 32?

storm free

With respect to the local radar views, the area of snow is blotchy and broken. Perhaps some of that will fill in after midnight but it is going to have to fill in fast and come down hard to even come close to the early amounts forecast.

HRRR Model Cutting Snow Amounts Local Radar Loops



storm free
storm free

The short range HRRR model which this morning was forecasting 4 inch or more amounts for most of Long Island has now cut amounts way back. I’m going to line up somewhat with this view.

HRRR Model Cutting Snow Amounts HRRR SNOW ACCUMULATION FORECAST

hrrrsnow

The HRRR model barely produces an inch west of New York City and confines the heaviest amounts of 3 to 4 inches to Eastern Long Island. If it were snowing everywhere right now that would be one thing. But it is at the point now where I have to take amounts down.

HRRR Model Cutting Snow Amounts Joe’s Snowfall Forecast

snow03212016

All week long I have been struggling with this. I wanted to stand against it and did until Wednesday. Then I fell into the model madness that set in over the next 3 days. Now it has come to this. I guess I should have stood my ground from the beginning. It’s never easy.

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

 

Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!

 

storm free

googleplay

 



<

Liked it? Take a second to support joestradamus on Patreon!