Gaston Strengthens Wave Organizes

Gaston Strengthens Wave Organizes

Gaston Strengthens Hurricane By Wednesday

Wave Organizes East of Leewards

We see the strong tropical wave approaching the Leeward Islands. Latest satellite loops show showers and thunderstorms becoming more concentrated and increasing. This system continues to move to the west northwest. It appears that conditions will become more conducive for development once this system clears the islands and is east of the Bahamas. Weather models develop this system to varying degrees with the European model the most aggressive of the bunch in the longer term.

storm free


While this sytem heads westward it will be underneath a strengthening ridge along the east coast. This will keep the system moving west or west northwest into Sunday or until that ridge begins to breaks down. Both the GFS and European Model are in agreement with this idea though the European does much more with the wave. It develops it into a tropical storm before moving it over Southern Florida.

euro120 gaston euro144 gaston

Now just because the European is forecasting something doesn’t mean it is correct but it has been fairly consistent in its view on this system while other models have been going all over the place. The Canadian which for days was going all over the place with this now has nothing at all. The GFS has been going back and forth on this for days. At this point I think the emphasis is going to be on watching the wave itself and seeing how it responds to somewhat favorable conditions for development over the weekend.

storm free

Gaston meanwhile continues to move right along to the west northwest and it continues to become better organized. It has developed a central core of convection and Gaston should strengthen to a hurricane overnight or on Wednesday.

storm free

North and west of Gaston is an upper low and this is going to create some complications down the road regarding intensity. However when we look at the upper air profile in the Atlantic, weather models continue to show a weakness developing in the Atlantic Ridge.


This should steer Gaston northward before it reaches 60 west longitude. Models have been consistent on this for days so we will continue to go with it. We will evaluate the overnight models and post a new you tube video in the morning.

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley







Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!




storm free




Liked it? Take a second to support joestradamus on Patreon!