Flash Flood Watch Central South Jersey Gale Warning Coastal Waters Zeta Racing Northeast

Flash Flood Watch Central South Jersey Gale Warning Coastal Waters Zeta Racing Northeast

 

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Flash Flood Watch Central South Jersey Gale Warning Coastal Waters Zeta Racing Northeast

We are approaching the end of a gloomy week and it has been actually a gloomy 2 week period. At least we now seem to have the catalyst to change the weather scheme to bring back the sun. However that is not happening today. We have rain and some of that rain will be heavy. Flash Flood Watches are posted from Central and Southern New Jersey southward where you might see the core of Tropical Storm Zeta have its strongest impact.

It is rather unusual to have tropical storm warnings up for inland areas like Southwestern Virginia and Western North Carolina but Zeta still has a defined core on satellite and radar looks and we are seeing wind gusts to 50 to 60 mph along its track. It is also racing northeastward at nearly 40 mph.

LOCATION…34.0N 85.5W
ABOUT 65 MI…105 KM WNW OF ATLANTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 39 MPH…63 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…988 MB…29.18 INCHES

SATELLITE

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REGIONAL RADAR

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Regional and local radars are loaded this morning with rain as it moves northeast. The area of rain extends rather far south and west of us so we will see rain all day and into tonight and some of it will be heavy. On the satellite picture above on the lower left is Tropical Storm Zeta embedded in this larger area of clouds and rain. The rocket ship movement of northeast at 40 mph is creating strong wind gusts as the storm interacts with a deep upper trough to its west.

LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY

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LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
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The Zeta low tracks to Chesapeake Bay and then exits rapidly to the northeast passing east of New Jersey and South of Long Island. This will create strong winds offshore and gale force gusts along the immediate coast but I don’t see big wind issues spreading inland.

As far as rainfall is concerned we are still looking at the potential for a couple of inches of rain with heavier amounts as you head southward into the Mid Atlantic where 3 inch plus rains seem likely. Once Zeta moves away to the northeast tonight, the next issues is the upper trough that spawns another low and more rain later tonight into Friday.

Late tonight cold air will drain southward out of a cold high north of the Great Lakes. Temperatures will start to fall and you can see on the NAM model an expanding area of snow on the northwest flank of the second developing low. By morning many areas inland and north of Route 84 will have either mixed with or have changed over to wet snow. The developing low is rather far south and east and I’m not seeing anything impressive enough to warrant anything more than a slushy few inches well inland (well north of Route 84). We might actually see some mixing down near the coast.

Precipitation will come to an end Friday afternoon and it will turn clear and cold Friday night and for Saturday. We will address the weekend and the long range separately.

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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please note that with regards to any severe weather,  tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.

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