european weather model bullish storm signal

European Weather Model Bullish Storm Signal

European Weather Model Bullish Storm Signal

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Last night’s European model run was very bullish on the east coast storm signal for next week. Also the European model has a colder look than the other models as it builds a strong high over Eastern Canada and Quebec which should allow colder air to bleed further south and toward the coast. Of course at this stage of the game specifics are way too early. The European weather model and the GFS long range model seem to have similar ideas going with the GFS showing an even deeper low moving up the coast just offshore. So it will be the usual games of how important cold air will be. The last several storms have shown cold air to be more important as we get closer to the time frame.

European Weather Model Bullish Storm Signal

VIDEO ANALYSIS

 

Here are the two model looks for next Wednesday Evening. Both models have deep lows but the European has less of the northern stream getting involved and a more vigorous southern stream energy feature. This makes the high to the north more important on the European than on the GFS.

European weather model bullish storm signal European and GFS surface/jet stream Next Wednesday night 02242016

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We will certainly have many more model runs to go on this so I come to no specific conclusions at this point other than the storm signal is there. Ensembles on the European were colder and further east. The day runs are beginning now so we shall see where they take us. Remember there is a lot of energy running around. Phasing, partial phase, or no phase will all make a huge difference in many directions.

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