Euro Weather Model Major Rain Storm New England
Euro Weather Model Major Rain Storm New England
The overnight model began shifting a little further south with the developing storm system for Friday into Saturday for the Northeast. That trend continues this afternoon as the European model absorbs whatever tropical or subtropical system to the south faster and begins a surface low development further south. What the European is doing is sharpening the upper support faster and is deeper than the other models with the upper feature as it cuts off in Central Pennsylvania.
EURO WEATHER MODEL UPPER AIR
EURO WEATHER MODEL SURFACE OVER THE UPPER AIR
Now unfortunately you can’t see the in between maps as these are 24 hours apart. However the Euro weather model develops a secondary low east of the Carolinas as it absorbs the tropical/subtropical system and brings it east of New Jersey and then over Montauk before taking it to Boston by Saturday morning. The deepening is a little too late to bring significant rain to us but it clobbers upstate NY and Western New England with 3 to 5 inch rainfalls. For is the rain is much lighter but it does try to generate an inch or two for Long Island the Hudson Valley and Southern New England.
Meanwhile the tropical system this afternoon remains disorganized as a broad area of low pressure. Whether it develops into anything or not may not matter. The model does wind up absorbing all this moisture as it moves northward either way.
Regardless of how much rain falls Saturday is likely to be rather windy here with northwest winds in the 20 to 35 mph range with gusts into the 40s. What I want to watch for is if this trend continues. If it does it might mean more rain for our area and perhaps a bit more wind as well. Either way it turns chilly this weekend. Saturday and Sunday daytime temperatures won’t be out of the 50s. The European and other models bring a secondary shot of colder air for Monday night into Wednesday morning that could bring the first widespread freeze into the mix.
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