Euro Model Long Range
Today’ Euro model long range remains remarkably consistent from the last 5 or 6 runs. First off with regards to the flow of the weather over the next 7 days it remains pretty steady on its idea of a cold start to the weekend with a milder finish Sunday. With Wedneday’s major storm continuing to pull away the upper air flow flattens out a bit and lows temperatures to warm up. Sunday it should be in the 50s everywhere and the same holds for Monday until a weak cold front moves through.
Euro Model Long Range Monday and Tuesday Forecast
By Tuesday the next weather system is coming out of the Central Plains and headed for the Eastern Great Lakes. It cuts to the west like the last system which is no surprise. The end result will be showers on Wednesday of next week and perhaps some thunderstorms could come into the mix as we should be in the warm sector yet again. I don’t think this storm sets up exactly the same way as the last one but that is a short range issue to deal with as we move into next week.
Euro Model Long Range Wednesday Forecast
After this front goes by the European does have the next weather system lining up and it looks like this one will see a cold high build to the north for late next week. Low pressure on the model takes a southern track. Right now based on the literal look of the model, this could be setting up for some winter precipitation for the Middle Atlantic States. The upper air flow to the north holds cold air in place. Also the North Atlantic Oscillation is forecast to go negative next week and stay negative through at least mid March. Assuming that is the case there is a good chance that the European has the right idea here.
Euro Model Long Range Thursday & Friday Forecast
The issue this time around will be how far north precipitation gets due to the stronger northern jet that seems to be in place. This may prevent any southern tier system from lifting up far enough north. Again this is another issue for the shorter range. Being that it is March, seeing something like this is not unusual. The European at least seems to open the door slightly to the possibility of some sort of winter event along the east coast somewhere from Southern New Jersey southward. Lots of runs to go and at least in the Euro model long range, we have something to look at as the winter winds down.
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