Euro Model Very Dynamic Next Week
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The Euro model is following the lines of the GFS model in showing a very dynamic pattern for next week however there are huge differences in the 2 models. Each goes a different way for the middle and latter part of next week. Earlier we wrote about the GFS and showing an intensifying low moving up the coast on Wednesday. The Euro model handles energy differently as it focuses more on the north than the south. It winds up with an ocean storm that develops late in the week and then sits around for a few days because it remains cut off from the main jet stream flow.
Euro Model Very Dynamic Next Week
GFS vs Euro Upper Air Wednesday/Thursday
What the Euro model does is that it phases the two streams together unlike the above GFS which keeps them separate and progressive. The northern energy on the Euro model overwhelms the flow and dives southward. The result on the Euro is a huge upper air storm that cuts off from the main westerlies.
Euro Model Very Dynamic Next Week
Euro Upper Air Friday
This Euro model solution is not inconsistent with what this model has been doing for the last several days. It has been showing this idea for awhile but each day it is a little different in how it handles all this. Models are signalling blocking strengthening late next week. That signal will have to be watched closely. The Euro would develop a coastal low and basically leave it along or just off the coast for 2 or 3 days. The question is whether blocking will be strong enough to cause this or will the more progressive GFS have the better idea.
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