Dry Cold Start But A Warmer Finish With Rain Late Friday into Saturday, Early Look At Thanksgiving Week

Dry Cold Start But A Warmer Finish With Rain Late Friday into Saturday,

Early Look At Thanksgiving Week

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Dry Cold Start But A Warmer Finish With Rain Late Friday into Saturday,

Early Look At Thanksgiving Week

We start the work week with  a cold morning but we will be seeing temperatures bounce a little bit today. Not much is happening on either the satellite and radar loops so we are looking at a mostly sunny day but it is going to be cold for this time of year. Average highs for mid November are in the low to middle 50s so we will be under that in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Radars are nice and quiet and we are going to enjoy rain free conditions at least through Thursday

SATELLITE WITH LIGHTNING STRIKES

storm free

WEATHER RADAR

storm free

There is an upper trough that is moving across Upstate NY and New England later today into tonight but there isn’t much to it and we don’t expect any issues from this system as it goes by. The only thing it does is it slows down the warm up as we move through the week. Tonight we will see a mix of clear skies and some clouds with most lows in the 30s except for 20s in colder inland locations.

Tuesday should be a nice day with sunshine and temperatures will edge a little higher as we see readings reach the low and middle 50s for highs. The slow warm up continues on Wednesday as high pressure moves offshore. Wednesday highs will reach the middle and upper 50s under partly to mostly sunny conditions.

Thursday we will still be holding on to dry weather with some sushine and the temperatures will take another step higher as we see highs in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Then our attention turns to a cold front coming in from the west and low pressure that moves across the Gulf States Tuesday and Wednesday, emerges off the Southeast coast and starts to track north northeastward.

There are a few oddities with this system including the fact there is some tropical forcing going on from the Carribean. A low develops there late this week and moves to the east of the Bahamas. This could wind up being a named system but it only matters in that it forces low development off the Carolinas and that low which would be non tropical would move northeast. The cold front has its own energy and we likely see rain late Friday into Early Saturday. The coastal low might get involved a bit and enhance the rain along the coast but this should all move away for Saturday and Sunday. The weekend does look colder with some developing sunshine Saturday and mostly sunny skies Sunday.

Thanksgiving week begins with 3 heavy travel days and right now it seems that for most travelers across the US, Monday and Tuesday will be the best of it (depending on your destination) and then we have to see if models are correct on the idea of a major storm developing in the Ohio Valley and moving off the coast for Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some models show a big rain and wind storm for the middle of next week impacting travel all along the I-95 corridor. However there is still much uncertainty here this early in the game. There is a lot happening in the upper atmosphere where parts of it are getting stretched out to an extreme, and that could support the idea of a major storm developing somewhere in the first part of Thanksgiving week. We will be watching developments closely and a lot depends on colder air building and spreading out over Canada. This will lead to a colder second half of next week behind any developing storm. It probably will be at least several days before we come to any conclusion regarding developments for Thanksgiving week.

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Please note that with regards to any severe weather,  tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.

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