Coastal Storm Passes Offshore Severe Weather Risk Grows For Tuesday

Coastal Storm Passes Offshore Severe Weather Risk Grows For Tuesday

Slow Improvement Late Today Nice Most of Sunday Busy Week Ahead

The big weather story today will be the widespread risk for severe weather across the Deep South and Southeast US. The Storm Prediction Center has a very large area of moderate risk indicated for today from Louisiana to Georgia and the overall risk for severe weather runs from East Texas to North Carolina. We will be discussing this in detail on this morning’s Joe & Joe Weather Show at 11am Eastern Time on Youtube. You can of course watch it anytime later today.

This is all due to low pressure that will be developing in Alabama and Georgia and then head northeast to North Carolina late tonight and then well offshore on Monday. It appears this storm will pass far enough east to only graze us with clouds. The bulk of the rain will remain offshore. Meanwhile we are enjoying a nice weather day today with plenty of sunshine to start though clouds to the west will move in as a cold front approaches. Temperatures today will reach the 60s which is a nice recovery from this morning’s cold start and from the raw conditions of Saturday.

SATELLITE

storm free

 

REGIONAL RADAR

storm free

There isn’t much showing up on the radar with the cold front so that moves through with clouds. The southern system will come after the front passes so there is no danger of the two separate systems in the jet stream phasing here. Look for clouds Monday into early afternoon and then we should see some sun break through the clouds from west to east. Highs will be in the 50s to near 60.

Coastal Storm Passes Offshore Severe Weather Risk Grows For Tuesday

Let’s move on to Tuesday where the Storm Prediction Center has put much of the Northern Mid Atlantic to Central New England at risk for severe weather. For now the risk is marginal but I would not at all be surprised if we see some of this area upgraded to slight risk come Tuesday.

We have a very strong upper trough swinging across the Great Lakes and strengthening as it moves through Upstate NY and New England Tuesday afternoon and evening. This is creating a strong cold front with a sharp wind shift line as the front passes. This shows up as a “V” shape with the isobars (lines of equal pressure) on the weather maps Tuesday afternoon.

These thunderstorms have to potential to produce strong wind gusts in downdrafts or “microbursts” as the front passes. We will evaluate this situation closer tomorrow and of course on Tuesday. Temperatures Tuesday will be in the 60s ahead of the front. Once the front passes weather conditions improve Wednesday with some sunshine but then we have two weather systems that follow. One for later Thursday with a cold rain developing and lasting into at least part of Friday. We could see a brief break next Saturday before another system moves in with an onshore flow and rain for Sunday into Monday. We have a busy weather week ahead of us for sure.

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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please note that with regards to any severe weather,  tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.

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