The gales and coastal flooding continue with the noreaster conditions that began late Thursday continue unabated today with strong northeast to east winds at 20 to 35 knots with higher gusts. We have had 3 high tides, each higher than the previous one. Now we have tides running 2 to 3 feet above normal with waves up to 10 feet on top of that. Back bay coastal flooding today on the south shore of Long Island particularly in Western Nassau county will be extensive.
Nothing much has changed since last night. Hurricane Joaquin is moving away from the Bahamas to the northeast while high pressure is building down from Eastern Canada. That high is unusually strong and the pressure gradient continues very tight. The long northeast to east fetch has been unbroken now for 3 days and we have seen 4 high tides under its influence.
We can expect coastal flooding to remain a problem into Monday though the pressure gradient will begin to relax a bit beginning late tomorrow however the northeast flow remains unbroken until later on Tuesday. We also need to wait for Hurricane Joaquin to move away to the northeast. The track of Joaquin is further southeast which is good news for our coastal waters as it probably lessens the ocean effect at least by a little bit if the hurricane is east of 65 degrees west.
Meanwhile Hurricane Joaquin continues to the northeast and it looks like it may be strengthening a little as the eye has become better defined on satellite pictures with the eye making an appearance again.
Bermuda may lie close to the forecast path of Joaquin as the northeast track is forecast to continue throughout the forecast period. More on this will be on the tropical weather page.
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