Chilly Through Friday
Watching Columbus Day Weekend For Possible Coastal Storm
A cold front is passing eastward across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic states and this is going to take rain that is around this morning out to the east by midday. We should see improving weather conditions this afternoon as drier air comes in on northerly winds. Look for a decrease in cloud cover. Temperatures have already reached the highs of the day and we will likely settle into the 60s this afternoon and chill down to the 40s by Thursday morning. Cold spots inland and north of Interstate 84 will bottom in the 30s.
SATELLITE WITH LIGHTNING STRIKES
WEATHER RADAR
Thursday is going to be a very cool day indeed with sunshine but temperatures will be topping out in the lower 60s and some places may have a tough time getting out of the 50s. This sets up for a very cold night Thursday night into Friday morning and we could see some frosts and freezes inland. Freeze watches are already posted for later Thursday night into Friday morning.
Friday we are looking at sunshine and it will still be on the chilly side with highs reaching the low and even a few middle 60s. Going into the Columbus Day holiday weekend we do not see any weather issues through the daytime Saturday but afterwards we are looking at a potential issue and it could be a potential big issue for Sunday and Monday, Columbus Day.
Energy dropping southeastward from the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley will cause low pressure to develop Friday night and Saturday morning off the Southeast US coast. As the upper trough sharpens to the west, the low will be drawn northward and it will strengthen into a very powerful cyclone. Whether this system has some tropical characteristics to it or not really doesn’t matter. As depicted by the very aggressive GFS it would bring a windswept soaking heavy rain all the way up into Upstate New York and into New England. Coastal winds of 40 to 50 mph sustained would be common along with higher gusts. Coastal flooding and beach erosion would be likely as well. This looks to be a long duration event with the storm not pulling out until sometime Tuesday. The European is slightly less aggressive for Long Island and points north as it would bring the strongest winds to Coastal New Jersey south to Virginia. We have another couple of days to work out specifics but it does seem that the risks for a serious noreaster are rising. We will have more on this tonight on the Joe & Joe Weather Show Podcast at 7:35pm on youtube.
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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.