Chilly Night Rain Tuesday Rain Late Week

Chilly Night Rain Tuesday Rain Late Week

Chilly Night Rain Tuesday Rain Late Week

Frost Advisory Dutchess Sullivan & Ulster Counties

We have another night of clear skies and light winds and this is setting us up for a very cool night. The seasons first frost advisories are up for the northern areas of the Lower Hudson Valley as temperatures will settle into the 30s. In fact we should see 30s even into the Northern & Western Counties of Northwest New Jersey & Northeast Pennsylvania. Also some 30s will occur in Connecticut mainly north of route 84. Frost Advisory is posted for Litchfield County.

CHILLY MONDAY MORNING FORECAST LOWS

monday

Monday should be fine with sunshine giving way to arriving clouds. You can see the clouds from the next cold front swinging in from the midwest. Those clouds will thicken up Monday evening and a period of rain or showers will move in Monday night and last into the first part of Tuesday, gradually ending from west to east.

storm free

storm free

The weather gets complicated for the second half of the week as the front stalls out off shore and a strong upper air low dives from the Great Lakes to Virginia. This will cause a wave to develop on the front and push rain back in on Wednesday and it could continue on and off into Thursday. This upper air storm could be the first serious widespread rain we’ve seen since the spring and it may take days to get out of the way. If this is the case, the GFS model produces a generous amount of rain during this week.

gfsprecip

The late afternoon GFS model is producing a wide area of 4 to 6 inch rains for the week ending next Sunday. If we want to be conservative and cut it in half it says 2 to 3 inches which I think is a fair estimate at this point. If the maximum amounts materialize this could put a serious dent in the severe drought.

gfs156

The upper air storm will also be the key to what happens to the tropical storm that looks to develop this week in the Eastern Caribbean as it creates a weakness in the flow  to turn the storm northward across Cuba and into the Bahamas. We have more on this on our latest JOESTRADAMUS post.

WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK VIDEOS

In case you missed them I’ve been previewing the upcoming winter in a series of posts and videos. Here are the first 2. More will be coming along. Links to the latest posts are below.

EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA

NEW JERSEY

LONG ISLAND AND NEARBY

WINTER 2016-2017 EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 3 NEW JERSEY

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 1 OCEAN WATER TEMPERATURES

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 2 ARCTIC SEA ICE AND SIBERIAN SNOW COVER

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

tipjar

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storm free

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