Another Lovely Day of Sunshine & Low Humidity Some Rain & Thunder Late Thursday Into Friday

Another Lovely Day of Sunshine & Low Humidity

Some Rain & Thunder Late Thursday Into Friday

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Another Lovely Day of Sunshine & Low Humidity

Some Rain & Thunder Late Thursday Into Friday

We have some rain on the way for later Thursday into Friday as another warm front cold front combination moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. This is not forecast to be a big rain producer. Rainfall amounts will be in the 1/2 inch to an inch range and there could always be some locally higher amounts if thundertorms are in the mix but it should be manageable.

Before we get to the rain we have today which is another lovely day of sunshine. The satellite loop does show some high clouds streaming southeast from the Great Lakes thanks to blow off from thunderstorms there but it should be no worse than partly sunny today. High temperatures will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s and humidity levels remain very low. There are no issues on the radar as any showers or thunderstorms today will be well to the west in the western half of Pennsylvania and Western NY. Clouds will probably increase late in the day and we could see some showers this evening reaching parts of Northeastern Pennsylvania and the Catskills ahead of the warm front.


storm free


storm free

The dry air mass overhead does move out offshore and dew points will start rising tonight into Thursday. We could see a few scattered showers tonight into Thursday morning but they shouldn’t amount to much. Temperatures tonight will be mostly in the 60s. The dayside Thursday will a mostly cloudy one with some scattered showers. Highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.


Late in the day models show an larger area of showers and thunderstorms moving southeastward into Eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey and then gradually spreading eastward across NYC, the Hudson Valley and Long Island. It would seem that the bulk of the rain will be west and south of the coast as the warm front lines up over Central Pennsylvania and Southern New Jersey.

Friday with the cold front approaching and the warm front struggling to move northward we likely will see changeable sky conditions ranging from cloudy to some areas getting some sun breaking through but there might be another shower or thunderstorm. Highs will be in in the upper 70s and lower 80s and it will be on the humid side.

The weekend brings with it some issues. We have this cold front moving offshore and stalling out close by to the east. In the meantime we also have Tropical Storm Franklin moving across the Dominican Republic today and tonight, and then moving offshore into the Southwest Atlantic. Initially the track will be to the northeast but a building ridge in the Atlantic will turn the storm north and northwest. It is also likely to strengthen to a hurricane.

Franklin effectively keeps the front stalled which means that we will likely be humid over the weekend and we will also be dealing with clouds and the risk for showers or a thunderstorm for both Saturday and Sunday. We don’t see all day rains with this but there will be some issues with clusters of downpours around. Highs both Saturday and Sunday will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s. It will not be the best of weekends but it should also not be a complete washout.


storm free

Franklin meanwhile is bringing heavy rains and flash flooding to the Dominican Republic and parts of Eastern Haiti. Franklin has a stronger look to it today and while it will likely get distorted by the mountainous terrain of Hispaniola, cpnditions are favorable for strengthening once it emerges into the Atlantic. Utltimate as the GFS and other model loops show above, Franklin will strengthen to a hurricane and likely pass midway between North Carolina and Bermuda before turning northeast and well offshore Tuesday and Wednesday. It also appears that the track will take the hurricane south and southeast of both Nova Scotia and Newfoundland in the long range.




Please note that with regards to any severe weather,  tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.

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