Another Beautiful Autumn Day Sunshine Showers Saturday Night Sunday
We are enjoying a second day of wall to wall sunshine in the Northeast and Middle Atlantic States thanks to high pressure along the Middle Atlantic Coast and no real issues close by. There are some clouds well to the northwest over the Eastern Great Lakes back into Canada. This is a weak frontal boundary that is going to slowly move southward today and tonight but it has very little weather with it in terms of any showers. Temperatures today with sunshine all day and a west southwest wind should reach the middle to upper 60s. The satellite is cloud free so far today and the regional and local radars show no rain or showers anywhere even remotely close by.
We should see another night of clear skies with Friday morning lows in the 40s except near 50 in some of the warmer urban locations. Friday we have a disturbance going by to our north and some high clouds coming up from the south as we begin to see a warm front setting up ahead of the next storm system. We will see no worse than a mix of sun and clouds on Friday. Highs will be in the low to mid 60s.
Low pressure will be coming out of the Gulf States and this may also include some sort of subtropical low that develops in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico. This system will be loaded with tropical moisture but the low looks to track west of the Appalachians. A warm front sets up to our south with an onshore flow developing. We actually could see skies partially clear out Friday night as high pressure builds southward. Saturday we could see some early sun before clouds increase. Highs will be just in the upper 50s to lower 60s if it clouds up fast enough. There is some question about whether showers get here later Friday afternoon. It would seem the chances would be greater west of the immediate coast.
Weather models are doing their usual dances around timing and how much and how extensive the rain might be. The wild card here with rainfall will be the potential for the hybrid system in the Western Gulf that heads northeastward toward the Central Gulf Coast. This could juice up the radar in a way that Nestor did last weekend. Either way it all gets out of here late Sunday.
Next week brings an active pattern set up as we have potential for two weather events. One will come mid week and it comes with some colder air (for this time of year) behind it. Another trough follows next weekend which could bring storminess somewhere. There are a lot of players here so it is difficult to figure how exactly this all plays out. Weather models are doing what they do best which is sow mass confusion on which troughs and which short waves matter and which don’t. We will address the long range later today and in our YouTube live stream tonight at 7pm Eastern Time.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.