flood watch

Flash Flood Watch Rain Overnight 1-2 Inches Locally Possible

Flash Flood Watch Rain Overnight 1-2 Inches Locally Possible

flood warch

Flash Flood Watch Rain Overnight 1-2 Inches Locally Possible

Trying to guess how much rain is going to fall and where this time of year is often an exercise in futility. Suffice to say that somebody from Eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England is going to wind up with at least 1 to 2 inches of rain seems like a good bet. Weather models are similar in amounts though as usual put their emphasis on different areas.

flood watch

The NAM model wants to enphasize heavy rains north and west of NYC with a small 2 inch plus area in Eastern Long Island. The HRRR model is more convective looking with more variation.

flood watch

The HRRR model is only through 9am and for some areas there might be another couple of hours of rain to add to these numbers. The HRRR model has some 3-4 inch amounts in some areas which given the convective nature here is not impossible. I think the best approach is to expect rain, heavy at times with a few thunderstorms in the mix. 1 to 2 inches of rain looks like a good bet for most areas and a flash flood watch is required.

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LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
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Southern New Jersey is getting some thunderstorms late this afternoon as that is where the warm humid air is. The boundary is across Central New Jersey at the moment. Severe thunderstorms are possible in the next few hours. Then a larger area of rain and thunderstorms will develop over New Jersey this evening and then spread northeastward to north and east of NYC after 10pm. Most of the rain should be done Monday morning between 9am and noon with leftover clouds after that. Temeperatures overnight will settle into the 60s and stay there while it is raining and then perhaps get back into the 70s to near 80 Monday afternoon as weather conditions improve. Tuesday we should see clouds and some sunshine with highs in the 70s to near 80. Wednesday looks nice with sunshine and still low humidity with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

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