julia

Tropical Depression Julia Better Organized

Tropical Depression Julia Better Organized

Tropical Depression Julia Better Organized

Overnight Tropical Depression Julia seems to be trying a comeback for the second time. Thunderstorms have developed and have actually persisted on the south side of the circulation center. Wind shear remains strong but it is forecast to relax later today and tonight. Julia is also moving toward the gulf stream so it is not impossible that it could restrengthen again to a tropical storm. Models overnight take it mostly north toward North Carolina and some a little further north. If it could inch a little further north it could at least enhance some of the rain we will be getting on Monday. This may be the only chance for significant rain for the next 5 to 7 days.
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...JULIA TRYING TO MAKE A COMEBACK...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.3N 76.7W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 280 MI...445 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the North Carolina coast should monitor the
progress of Julia.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Julia
was located near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 76.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h),
and a slow northward motion is expected for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible during the next 48 hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

The overnight GFS model for rainfall actually gets a little more bullish with rain into Tuesday on the order of at least 1 to 2 inches with heavier rain as you go south across New Jersey and into the Middle Atlantic states.

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