Tropical Depression 8 Moving West
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 Moving Westward
This afternoon Tropical Depression 8 has not become any better organized. In fact you can see the exposed circulation center on the satellite loop very well. Thunderstorms that were ovehead were blown to the west thanks to southeasterly shear and an upper low to the southwest of the depression.
...DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.8N 70.9W ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the Outer Banks of North Carolina should monitor the progress of the depression. A tropical storm watch may be required for part of this area tonight. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight was located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 70.9 West. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the northwest and a decrease in forward speed on Monday and a slow northwestward motion on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone will pass offshore of the North Carolina Outer Banks late Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next couple of days, and the depression could become a tropical storm on Monday. The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft was 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tropical Depression 8 Forecast Next Few Days
Most of the model forecasts take Tropical Depression 8 west or west northwest over the next 2 days or so and the model guidance has this all clustered off North Carolina by Tuesday. However after that all models turn this to the northeast.
Given the fact that the flow across much of of the northeast will be from Canada (northwest to southeast) this track makes the most sense. There has been no change in the model track guidance this afternoon.
Tropical Depression 9 Forms In The Florida Straits
Tropical Depression 9 has formed in the Florida Straits this afternoon. We will have more on this in a separate post shortly.
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