Tropical Wave Moving West

Tropical Wave Moving West Off Africa

Tropical Wave Moving West Off Africa


Tropical Wave Moving West Off Africa

Since the intial burst of tropical activity in late May into early June, the Atlantic tropics have been silent which is usually what happens. Now as we come to the end of July we are beginning to see activity picking up We see a tropical wave moving west off Africa off the visible satellite loop. It is a well defined system and will be completely offshore in the next 24 hours. There are several other tropical waves behind it and they will start churning their way across the Atlantic over the next several weeks.

storm free

storm free

storm free

The National Hurricane Center rates this a 40 percent probability of developing into a tropical cyclone. The upper air pattern going forward over the next several days appears favorable for development. When we look at the upper air winds across the Eastern Atlantic, they show very light wind shear conditions. Light winds aloft are favorable for tropical systems to develop.

GFS30 Tropical Wave Moving West

The map shows the disturbance as well defined under a light area of wind shear and an upper air high pressure area which helps tropical storms develop from the bottom up. Beyond this time frame models don’t seem to handle tropical systems all that well so it is hard to get a feel for what if anything comes of this. We will watch it as it progresses westward.

Back home we have one more day of 90 degree temperatures before a soaking rain (hopefully) settles in for late Thursday night and Friday. Here is the latest video on that possibility.

[brid video=”56254″ player=”6390″ title=”wednesday”]

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley







Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!



storm free