Severe Weather Threat Friday Just West

Severe Weather Threat Friday Just West

Severe Weather Threat Friday Just West


Severe Weather Threat Friday Just West

For the rest of this afternoon and evening the Storm Prediction Center does not have us in the risk area for severe thunderstorms however bear in mind that an isolated cell could strengthen enough to be technically a severe thunderstorm. One has already moved through Eastern Ocean County in New Jersey. 

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However for Friday the Storm Prediction Center does have the Hudson Valley of NY, New York City and New Jersey in a marginal risk of severe weather for Friday with a slight (higher) risk for severe weather in all of Pennsylvania.

Severe Weather Threat Friday

Severe Weather Threat Friday Just West

Now tomorrow’s severe weather threat is a difficult call. We are deep in the heart of a tropical air mass with a cold front approaching. A warm sector is going to set up (as usual) right overhead so how it sets up will determine the extent (if any) of severe weather for Friday. I think we will see some thunderstorms either way.

Severe Weather Threat Friday Just West GFS Model Friday Evening

gfs36 Severe Weather Threat Friday

The GFS model has the warm sector setting up across Central New Jersey but this is subject to interpretation. Other models have different ideas with the warm sector including the NAM which would have the thunderstorms severe across Pennsylvania southward into Maryland and Virginia with the warm sector further north. Those storms wind up falling apart as they head to the coast.

Severe Weather Threat Friday Just West NAM MODEL FRIDAY EVENING


Meanwhile local radars this afternoon are showing some heavy thunderstorms that have developed producing mostly heavy rain but much of that is occurring north of New York City though there are some scattered cells elsewhere.

Severe Weather Threat Friday Just West LOCAL RADAR LOOPS

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FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley







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