Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model

Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model

Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model

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The overnight Canadian Model Nam Model Gfs Model all are rolling in at the moment and at the moment all three models have their own ideas about how the beginning of the week evolves. The easy part is Monday when the first weather front comes through. The Canadian Model Nam Model Gfs Model all pretty much have the same idea with the first cold front coming through midday Monday with a few showers between daybreak and lunch time. After that the models go in slightly different directions

Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model Tuesday Night

gem78 Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model gfs78 Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model nam78 Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model

Tonight’s Canadian model has the more robust looking lead low in Northwestern Pennsylvania and matches up fairly well to the Euro model from today. The GFS on the other hand takes a different look as it seems to want to bring out two waves with the the first one approaching Tuesday. Notice that the Gfs model lags the the front back in the  Lower Mississippi Valley as it wants to bring a second wave through on Wednesday. The result is a round of rain Tuesday night and then a second round of rain that possibly changes to snow before ending Wedneday night. NOT BUYING IT!

Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model UPPER AIR TUESDAY NIGHT

gem84 Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model nam84 Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model

gfs84 Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model

The Canadian weather model seems to me to have the better idea here with a much stronger lead piece of energy that moves along. The Nam model and the GFS model say otherwise. You can barely find the first piece and then place all the energy with the second. This is important because ultimately if that second piece is real, then it winds up squashing the the next system that sets up for the weekend. The Canadian weather model is consistent with the European weather model of today or at least more consistent than the others so I’m going along with this unless the European throws in the towel on tonight’s overnight run.

From here the Canadian weather model moves right along with the dayside European and develops a storm off the Middle Atlantic Coast at the end of the week. This is because it has plenty of room for the system that follows to deepen as it lifts northeast. In fact the Canadian weather model lifts it pretty far to the north on this particular run.

Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model Friday Night

gfs144 Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model

 

gem144 Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs ModelThe Canadian Weather model and the GFS weather model are above with the GFS on the top. Notice on the GFS model if you want to find the storm you need to take a cruise to Bermuda. This is because the model loses the entire southern stream energy and races it eastward. The Canadian weather model lines up almost identical to the European of this afternoon.

Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Euro Model UPPER AIR SATURDAY MORNING

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The difference in all three models is how they handle the west. The Canadian weather model and Euro model have stronger ridges in the west. The GFS model does not. Also the GFS model has more streams of energy running around in the flow than the other two models. So the question becomes which model’s view of the world next week is correct? Is the lead system stronger? Will there be split waves? Will the ridge in the west be stronger than forecast? Will Leonardo DiCaprio win the best actor Oscar? We will once again wait for the Euro model view of the weather picture and figure this out again on Sunday. Canadian Weather Model Nam Model Gfs Model Euro Model all nominees for best performance but only one can win.

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