Canadian weather model

Canadian Weather Model & Euro Model Bullish

Canadian Weather Model & Euro Model Bullish

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 Okay I know the winter is over. Or the winter never started. Or the winter sucked. It was what it was. That doesn’t change the fact that at least for the next 3 weeks or so there is a fair chance of some kind of winter weather threat. The European model has been hinting at this for several days. Now the Canadian model has joined in the bullish camp for late next week. I’m usually not a big fan of the Canadian weather model but I thought to do something different tonight and take a look and see what it does.

Canadian weather model Next Friday 03/04/2016

gem156 Canadian weather model euro model long range

I matched it with yesterday’s Euro model model day run and it isn’t that far off. It should be noted that the Euro model Ensembles from this afternoon and the Canadian weather model from overnight are not that far apart.

ens168 Canadian weather model

The idea is rather simple. The models are both building high pressure to the north and down the east coast as a disturbance moves along in the southern stream. The key to this in my view is how strong will the northern component of the jet will be and whether it relaxes just enough to allow this to move up the coast. Or is the northern stream going to overpower this and shove it further south and offshore. It is one of the many games we play here regarding snow and if it makes it up the coast. The upper air jet stream patterns of both models are not all that different.

euro168 Canadian weather model gem168 Canadian weather model

The Canadian weather model is deeper than the Euro model day run so we will know in the morning how the overnight European model run handles this. As for the GFS, it is totally clueless. For more on the European day run analysis read my post from Friday afternoon.

OVERNIGHT VIDEO ANALYSIS OF CANADIAN WEATHER MODEL & FRIDAY EURO MODEL

 

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