NYC Temperatures Below Zero Sunday?

NYC Temperatures Below Zero Sunday?



Seeing a temperature below zero in New York City has been a rare event. It has not been seen since January 19, 1994 when it hit minus 1 and before that it was Christmas morning 1980 when the temperature hit minus 2. We have hit zero a couple of times since but we have a shot to get to below zero Sunday morning. A brutal Arctic air mass is lining up and taking dead aim for the northeast this weekend. This will be the coldest weather of the winter.

NYC Temperatures Below Zero Sunday?

euro96 NYC Temperatures Below Zero Sunday?

What is happening is that the polar vortex is dropping far south of its normal position and is tracking across New York State and New England Saturday night into Sunday morning. This brings the core of the arctic air mass right overhead.

euro96 NYC Temperatures Below Zero Sunday?

What usually stops temperatures in NYC from going below zero is the wind. If it turns to the west during the overnight that usual puts a stop to the temperature fall. However this time may be different. The High is going to be to our northwest with low pressure in the ocean. The wind trajectory Sunday morning will still be strong northerly. This will bring arctic air straight down the Hudson. West winds tend to have a warming effect on ground temperatures. If the wind stays north, between 340 and 010 degrees, then NYC has a good chance to break the goose egg. It would be another remarkable feat in a winter that has seen extremes. The NYC record all time low is -15 in 1934 but that extreme is not going to happen.

NYC Temperatures Below Zero Sunday? GFS TEMPS

gfs120 NYC Temperatures Below Zero Sunday?

The European model has been forecasting temperatures between 0 and minus 10 for days. The GFS has been slowly coming into line with this as it gets colder with every run. This afternoon’s run brings temperature below zero for the first time. Look at how brutal the temperatures are just to the north of us! Areas in upstate New York will be -20 or lower! Bundle up for sure!








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