Heavy Rain Building Heading Northeastward
It appears that a patch of moderate to heavy rain is developing on the radars to the south and we can look for this move in this afternoon and evneing to impact the afternoon and evening rush hour drive. A warm front with a wave on it is setting up and this can sometimes surprise in terms of rainfall amounts so we feel pretty good about the forecast for 1 to 2 inches of rain for the entire area from this afternoon through Wednesday evening.
Temperatures will continue to struggle a bit today especially inland however the onshore flow will gradually become more southerly overnight and on Wednesday with an appraoching cold front. That front will have some downpours with that when it slowly moves through here tomorrow evening. There will be some breaks in the rainfall over the next 24 hours so it will not be continuous right through Wednesday evening.
No changes in the forecast outlook beyond Wednesday with dry colder weather returning though by colder I only mean temperatures back down to near normal. No storms are in sight for the rest of the week or the weekend as high pressure looks to dominate right through Sunday and the next cold front probably won’t begin its approach until late Monday or Tuesday of next week at the earliest.
For the even longer term we are beginning to see some signs of another shift in the pattern though what that means specifically is not something we can point to at this time. We could be entering a transitional phase which may take a few weeks to play itself out. I do believe however that the current overall look we have been in for the past 7 weeks is now about run its course as weather patterns usually don’t go much longer than 8 weeks before adjusting or changing. We will have more on this later today.