Right now about the only thing of importance we can say about Tropical Storm Ida is whether it survives and strengthens into something that perhaps could alter the overall pattern in the Atlantic somewhat but other than that, it looks to be a storm that will be an ocean feature and not much more as the future forecast track takes ida through an opening east of 50w. Conditions appear favorable for strengthening but you know how that goes. Shear will be there but it isn’t overly strong. We will watch and see what happens with this.
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.4N 38.5W ABOUT 970 MI...1565 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
Tropical Depression 9 is still hanging on for dear life but it should go away before too long. The strong shear that is there for the next 48 hours should finish this off once and for all.
Disturbed weather continues off the southeast coast of the US and there is a broad circulation that has developed based on radar and satellite loops. It appears to be off the Georgia coast. An Air Force place is scheduled to investitgate this area this afternoon. For now it appears to me to have a cold core look but conditions are somewhat favorable for development over the next day or 2. Regardless of whether it becomes tropical we will have to watch this system because given the set up along the east coast, it is possible that some moisture could make it up here over time however the possibility at this point is rather remote. It is one of those things that you have to keep an eye on for the longer term especially because a northeast flow will be developing for early next and that can at times be problematic.
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